Favorable Efficacy (RCT)

Topical 5-fluorouracil for skin cancer prevention

Topical 5-fluorouracil 5% (single 2-4 week course) vs. Vehicle cream · for Keratinocyte carcinoma (high-risk) · real-time analysis of 1 studies · updated 2026-05-29

A single field course of topical 5-fluorouracil to the face and ears sharply reduced squamous-cell carcinoma requiring surgery in the first year, with no significant effect on basal-cell carcinoma.

Efficacy (RCT): Efficacy evidence on clinical outcomes. Effects are risk ratios with number-needed-to-treat where a baseline risk is available. Glossary →

Interpretation & tips

Large but time-limited: squamous-cell carcinomas needing surgery fell ~75% in the first year, then the difference faded—field therapy clears existing damage rather than giving lasting protection. Basal-cell was not significantly reduced.

75% lower risk of squamous-cell carcinoma (needing surgery)
Pooled RR 0.25 (95% CI 0.09–0.65) across 1 studies, 932 patients (random-effects, I² 0%).
0.25
Pooled RR
0.09–0.65
95% CI
1
Studies
932
Patients
31
NNT

Forest plot—Squamous-cell carcinoma (needing surgery)

VAKCC (Weinstock) 2018 0.25 [0.09–0.65] Pooled (RE) 0.25 [0.09–0.65] 0.1 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 ← favors treatment favors control →

Study results—Squamous-cell carcinoma (needing surgery)

Study Design Dose / regimen Treatment Control RR [95% CI] Improvement NNT Weight
VAKCC (Weinstock) 2018 note DB-RCT 5-FU 5% single course 5/468 20/464 0.25 [0.09–0.65] 75% 31 100%

RR < 1 favors treatment for outcomes where lower is better. Rows in gray have a confidence interval crossing 1 (individually inconclusive). “~” marks effects reported as OR/HR and treated as RR-approximations. “excl” = excluded from pooling (e.g. reviews).

Notes & interpretation

  • VAKCC (Weinstock) 2018—Squamous-cell carcinoma requiring surgery, first year (~75% reduction). Effect faded after year 1.

Background

The VAKCC trial randomized 932 veterans at high risk of keratinocyte carcinoma to a single 2-4 week course of 5-fluorouracil 5% cream versus vehicle, with a median 2.8 years of follow-up.

Topic methodology & caveats

Risk ratios from first-year event counts (2×2). The squamous-cell effect was concentrated in year 1; NNT reflects that window.

Studies